42 9 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
918 -96 Strength Momentum |
898 47.6(40) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Silver | 0.001 | 799 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 999 | 68% | |
08/21/15 | East Mountain | 0.002 | 701 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-2) | 800 | 77% | |
08/22/15 | at Taos | 0.000 | 1288 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-4) | 702 | 12% | |
08/25/15 | East Mountain ? | 0.003 | 701 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 700 | 77% | |
08/29/15 | at Rehoboth Christian ?? | 0.007 | 694 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 765 | 75% | |
09/03/15 | at Robertson !! | 0.008 | 993 | W 5- 0 | Better (+6) | 1217 | 37% | |
09/05/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.002 | 794 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1330 | 64% | |
09/08/15 | Robertson ! | 0.026 | 993 | W 4- 0 | Better (+5) | 1147 | 42% | |
09/12/15 | Taos | 0.047 | 1288 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 943 | 14% | |
09/14/15 | at Capital | 0.080 | 1241 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1039 | 15% | |
09/15/15 | at Hatch | 0.076 | 987 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 811 | 37% | |
09/19/15 | St. Michael's | 0.144 | 870 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 934 | 59% | |
09/24/15 | Bosque | 0.183 | 1317 | L 1- 4 | Expected (+1) | 957 | 12% | |
09/26/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.207 | 985 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 760 | 38% | |
09/28/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.167 | 627 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1034 | 80% | |
10/03/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.478 | 985 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 892 | 43% | |
10/08/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.639 | 898 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 967 | 50% | |
10/15/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.841 | 870 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 954 | 54% | |
10/17/15 | Desert Academy | 0.863 | 627 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 863 | 83% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Monte del Sol actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 898, while
Monte del Sol's "weighted playing strength" is 920
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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